A place to keep general discussion related to the daily shows.
Follow along with the video below to see how to install our site as a web app on your home screen.
note: This feature may not be available in some browsers.
Some data based on an Elliott Wave alanysis:Folks, this looks strikingly like an Elliott Wave. We can likely forecast the speed and timing of the final peak using Elliott Wave technical analysis.
View attachment 62
| Elliott Wave Point | Approx. Date | Speed (km/year) | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wave 1 Peak | 1947 | 15.2 | First major acceleration peak |
| Wave 2 Low | 1970 | 6.4 | Corrective retracement |
| Wave 3 Peak | 2004 | 55.0 | Strong impulsive advance |
| Wave 4 Retrace Zone (50%) | 2022-2025 | 30.7 | Typical deep retrace |
| Wave 4 Retrace Zone (33%) | 2022-2025 | 39.0 | Typical shallow retrace |
| Current Area (assumed Wave 4) | 2025 | 36.5 | Inside reversal zone |
| Wave 5 Intermediate Target | 2027 | 43.0 | Early recovery |
| Wave 5 Intermediate Target | 2030 | 55.0 | Retest of Wave 3 high |
| Wave 5 Peak (0.618 Extension) | 2033 | 66.5 | Conservative Elliott target |
| Wave 5 Peak (100% Extension) | 2035-2038 | 85.1 | Equal-length Wave 5 |
| Item | Calculation | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Wave 2 Low | — | 6.4 km/yr |
| Wave 3 Peak | — | 55.0 km/yr |
| Wave 3 Length | 55.0 − 6.4 | 48.6 km/yr |
| Wave 4 Level (Current) | — | 36.5 km/yr |
| 0.618 Extension | 36.5 + (0.618 × 48.6) | 66.5 km/yr |
| 1.000 Extension | 36.5 + (1.000 × 48.6) | 85.1 km/yr |
| 1.618 Extension (Aggressive) | 36.5 + (1.618 × 48.6) | 115.1 km/yr |
| Scenario | Target Speed | Approximate Date |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative Wave 5 | 66-70 km/yr | ~2033 |
| Standard Wave 5 (100% of Wave 3) | 85 km/yr | ~2035-2038 |
| Extended Wave 5 (1.618×) | 110-115 km/yr | >2040 |
Some data based on an Elliott Wave alanysis:
Extended Projection Table
Elliott Wave Point Approx. Date Speed (km/year) Notes Wave 1 Peak 1947 15.2 First major acceleration peak Wave 2 Low 1970 6.4 Corrective retracement Wave 3 Peak 2004 55.0 Strong impulsive advance Wave 4 Retrace Zone (50%) 2022-2025 30.7 Typical deep retrace Wave 4 Retrace Zone (33%) 2022-2025 39.0 Typical shallow retrace Current Area (assumed Wave 4) 2025 36.5 Inside reversal zone Wave 5 Intermediate Target 2027 43.0 Early recovery Wave 5 Intermediate Target 2030 55.0 Retest of Wave 3 high Wave 5 Peak (0.618 Extension) 2033 66.5 Conservative Elliott target Wave 5 Peak (100% Extension) 2035-2038 85.1 Equal-length Wave 5
Here are the pole shift speed projections under the various scenarios:
Item Calculation Result Wave 2 Low — 6.4 km/yr Wave 3 Peak — 55.0 km/yr Wave 3 Length 55.0 − 6.4 48.6 km/yr Wave 4 Level (Current) — 36.5 km/yr 0.618 Extension 36.5 + (0.618 × 48.6) 66.5 km/yr 1.000 Extension 36.5 + (1.000 × 48.6) 85.1 km/yr 1.618 Extension (Aggressive) 36.5 + (1.618 × 48.6) 115.1 km/yr
And here is the timing:
Scenario Target Speed Approximate Date Conservative Wave 5 66-70 km/yr ~2033 Standard Wave 5 (100% of Wave 3) 85 km/yr ~2035-2038 Extended Wave 5 (1.618×) 110-115 km/yr >2040
